Golden Tankard

Rolling OX

Joined: 10/21/2005 Posts: 4138
Likes: 3619


Here u go,95% of the time results will fall within +/-2 standard deviations


, 99.73%of the time results fall within +/- 3 standard deviations.
So if the number of expected votes was 5 millions and the standard deviation was 1 million votes then 95% of the time the votes would be between 3-7 million for the candidate. Up to 8 million would happen 99.73% of the time. If a candidate gets 8.5 million votes it is basically statistically impossible.
So if Joe somehow get so many more votes than you would ever expect (based on all the data out there) in certain districts it falls into the category of statistically impossible.

(In response to this post by ecudmarsh47)

Posted: 11/24/2020 at 3:28PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
The Dirty (almost) Dozen of voting irregularities. -- 120pages 11/23/2020 10:00PM
  Are you sure the last point is accurate? -- ecudmarsh47 11/24/2020 09:28AM
  Yes in the cities it is accurate. -- Paleales 11/24/2020 09:56AM
  What percentages did they reach? ** -- ecudmarsh47 11/24/2020 12:03PM
  Does Milwaukee count? -- Paleales 11/24/2020 7:24PM
  My quote was city-wide. Some wards will be high. -- ecudmarsh47 11/24/2020 7:31PM
  And that’s the rub -- Paleales 11/25/2020 06:31AM

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