Here u go,95% of the time results will fall within +/-2 standard deviations
, 99.73%of the time results fall within +/- 3 standard deviations.
So if the number of expected votes was 5 millions and the standard deviation was 1 million votes then 95% of the time the votes would be between 3-7 million for the candidate. Up to 8 million would happen 99.73% of the time. If a candidate gets 8.5 million votes it is basically statistically impossible.
So if Joe somehow get so many more votes than you would ever expect (based on all the data out there) in certain districts it falls into the category of statistically impossible.
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In response to this post by ecudmarsh47)
Posted: 11/24/2020 at 3:28PM